rasmussen polls trump vs biden

And if he did, it would be a blowout.So far this week, we’ve received two polls of these states: a.On Tuesday, we’ll get an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of Georgia. That’s probably a better reflection of the politics of the issue.We’ve been lucky to have a lot of high-quality state polling this month. It’s Maine, the state where non-Hispanic whites represent the largest share of the population in the country.There are other possible differences, like the effect of campaign ad spending. If so, it might lead to seemingly surprising results for Mr. Biden in overwhelmingly white states like Minnesota and Maine without corresponding national leads.Of course, it’s not necessarily a bad trade for Mr. Biden. That’s certainly plausible, especially since Mr. Biden has tended to make his largest gains among white voters, who are disproportionately overrepresented in the battleground states, while struggling to match Mrs. Clinton’s numbers among nonwhite voters. His lead might not be 16 points, but it’s large, and it’s real.A word of caution: Quinnipiac has leaned quite a bit to the left in this cycle; I recommend nudging these to the right a few points in your head before taking them to the bank. The Washington Times That said, you could cut Mr. Biden’s lead in half and it would still be a strong result for Democrats.Most of all, know that Maine is a very underpolled state. On Friday, we got some. here for reprint permission,McConnell’s vow on Trump’s Supreme Court nominee faces obstacles,Forged on the Iron Range: Trump’s ‘America First’ message putting Minnesota in play.Quiz: US Citizenship Test - Could You Pass?A ‘dramatic shift’ among Catholics is drawing the devoted to Trump’s ‘fortitude and courage’,Rising red tide: Russia accused of trashing Bering Strait amid Arctic power struggle,Liberal advocacy group plans to hold protests at McConnell’s home, offices,Doctor: “Doing This Every Morning Can Snap Back Sagging Skin (No Creams Needed)”,‘View’ co-host Joy Behar triggered after Kim Klacik brings up her ‘Blackface’ costume,How ICE ‘abandoned’ cities and forced communities like Los Angeles to embrace sanctuary status.Quiz: Can you pass a World War I history test?CNN quiet as Biden claims nobody would have died from virus if Trump had ‘done his job’,Van Morrison slams ‘fascist bullies’ in new protest songs against coronavirus lockdowns,‘Antifa is a real thing’: FBI director knocks down Dem’s comment during violence hearing,Black conservatives rise to counter Black Lives Matter narrative: ‘Racism is dead, or damn near’,Quiz: Take the political scandals in U.S. history test. (RELATED: Biden Leads Trump In Battleground States According To CNBC Poll) The poll is not in sync with the majority of recent polling that puts Biden well ahead of Trump.

We’ll see what the results suggest.It will be a while until we have a good understanding of public opinion in the aftermath of the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

President Trump carried all of these states four years ago. But the other two-thirds are heavily Democratic and live across the state. For independents, Biden leads with 47% to Trump’s 36%, but “17% of these voters like another candidate or are undecided,” according to the poll. Even then, those results will reflect only the state of play at the outset of what’s sure to be a long fight.In general, people tend to be nice and agreeable, so questions that simply ask voters to agree or disagree with a statement will generally find higher support for “agreement” than a similar question with a forced choice between opposing ideas.In this case, if the pollster simply asks whether the respondent agrees that the winner of the election should replace Justice Ginsburg, most voters might say “yes.” But if you give the same respondents a second option — whether President Trump should choose the nominee — you can bet that plenty of Trump supporters would take the option, even though they might have agreed, if asked the other question, that the winner should decide.

With U.S.C. Here’s one simple way to look at it: If you take a straight average, Mr. Biden ran about 8.7 points ahead of Mrs.What explains the difference? And some of the state polling for Mr. Biden — like the Quinnipiac poll — comes from firms with a record of showing him doing particularly well.But it’s also possible that it reflects a real split, perhaps driven by demographics: Most of the great results for Mr. Biden in recent state polls have come in overwhelmingly white states, and there are plenty of national (and state) poll results suggesting that Mr. Biden is running ahead of Mrs. Clinton among white voters but faring worse among nonwhite voters. I am not a big believer in the polls that show Biden ahead. It’s hard to say it’s an outlier without any other polls for comparison. This was an ominous sign for Mr. Biden: His lead in the survey fell to just seven points, down from 12, from Sept. 11 to 17, suggesting a tightening race.But it turns out that the U.S.C. Together, winning those states.The good news for the president is that he didn’t trail in any of those states by very much, and he stayed close in a state that has seemed in danger of slipping away: Arizona.The polls have been pretty split in Arizona, with some showing a close race and others showing a commanding Biden lead.

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